vs NYR (Dec 1, 2006)@ TBL (Dec 5, 2006) ›

December 2, 2006

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 47 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
WSH4127
Shots on goal BUF 30, WSH 28W O. KolzigL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 4-7.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .667
Buffalo M. Biron .833
WSH O. Kolzig .867
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
WSH 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
R. Zednik goal (P1 2:01), Sabres win chance drops from 56% to 38%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Brière
21:02
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
29:24
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.833 (15/18)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:01R. Zednik (5) 56% to 38%-18
  2. P1 02:35B. Muir (1) 38% to 22%-16
  3. P1 07:45A. Ovechkin (17) 21% to 10%-11
  4. P1 15:09D. Roy (4) 8% to 18%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P1 7:45
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
-2
2
1
1.4
18:48
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
-1
0
3
1.5
19:11
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
-2
5
5
1.8
20:12
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
5
1.3
18:44
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
9:26
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
25:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
21:08
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-4
0
2
0.9
29:24
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
14:39
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
6:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
29
0
-0.6
2:28
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
27
0
-0.4
4:53
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:35
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-2
8
5
0.1
21:02
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
16:52
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:29
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
22:45
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.3
14:38
Total
4
7
11
75
30
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron183.833-0.750:56L
#30 R. Miller93.667-1.67:45

Team Stats

BUFWSH
30Shots on Goal28
6Power Play Chances7
17%PP%0%
100%PK%83%
1PPG0
75Penalty Minutes42
19Hits11
16Blocked Shots7
7Giveaways11
8Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
02:01GOAL (WSH): Richard Zednik (5), unassisted
02:35GOAL (WSH): Bryan Muir (1), assists: Brian Sutherby
07:45GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (17), unassisted
15:09GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (4), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Thomas Vanek
16:02GOAL (WSH): Ben Clymer (3), assists: Jakub Klepis, John Erskine
2ND
07:24GOAL (WSH): Matt Pettinger (7), assists: Brian Pothier
09:46GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (16), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Teppo Numminen
19:32GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (17), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Brian Campbell
3RD
09:52GOAL (WSH): Matt Pettinger (8), assists: Alexander Semin, Kris Beech
12:14GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (2), assists: Chris Drury
19:04GOAL (WSH): John Erskine (1), assists: Steve Eminger
vs NYR (Dec 1, 2006)@ TBL (Dec 5, 2006) ›