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December 9, 2006

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 32 MTL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF020013
MTL011002
Shots on goal BUF 33, MTL 33W R. MillerL C. Huet
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .939
MTL C. Huet .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
MTL 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
S. Souray goal (P3 2:52), Sabres win chance drops from 79% to 51%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
22:50
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
30:21
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:02
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 02:52S. Souray (11) 79% to 51%-28
  2. P2 17:45D. Roy (5) 51% to 78%+27
  3. P2 06:12J. Novotny (6) 51% to 74%+23
  4. P2 09:11M. Ryder (8) 71% to 51%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
22:23
#13 J. Novotny (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
13:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
16:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+2
2
7
1.1
18:49
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
11:58
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.2
4:02
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
17:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
10:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
19:36
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.2
21:30
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
22:50
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:03
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.5
24:15
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
26:10
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:10
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
26:55
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
30:21
Total
2
3
5
10
33
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller332.9391.664:58W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
33Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances4
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG2
10Penalty Minutes12
18Hits32
24Blocked Shots17
17Giveaways14
19Takeaways14

Full Game Log

2ND
06:12GOAL (BUF): Jiri Novotny (6), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
09:11GOAL (MTL): Michael Ryder (8), assists: Saku Koivu, Sheldon Souray
17:45GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (5), assists: Thomas Vanek, Nathan Paetsch
3RD
02:52GOAL (MTL): Sheldon Souray (11), assists: Tomas Plekanec, Mark Streit
SO
00:00GOAL (MTL): Alex Kovalev, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière, assists: Cristobal Huet(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, assists: Cristobal Huet(SO)
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