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December 12, 2006

Continental Airlines Arena | East Rutherford

BUF 32 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0123
NJD0022
Shots on goal BUF 24, NJD 33W R. MillerL M. Brodeur
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .939
NJD M. Brodeur .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
NJD 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P2 12:05), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 76%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (3A)
POINTS
D. Roy
18:30
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
26:56
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 12:05J. Hecht (7) 52% to 76%+24
  2. P3 03:12M. Afinogenov (13) 81% to 95%+14
  3. P3 00:47Holding on Jochen Hecht, 2 min 80% to 76%-4
  4. P2 05:04High sticking on Johnny Oduya, 2 min 52% to 56%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
3
3
+2
0
2
2.4
16:52
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.3
21:04
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
17:25
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.9
17:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
14:14
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:30
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:27
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
16:46
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
13:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:11
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:09
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
12:50
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
5:53
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
17:21
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
26:56
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
15:21
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
8:51
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.3
26:40
Total
3
5
8
4
24
8.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller332.9391.659:55W

Team Stats

BUFNJD
24Shots on Goal33
6Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes24
5Hits13
18Blocked Shots6
7Giveaways8
10Takeaways7

Full Game Log

2ND
12:05GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (7), assists: Daniel Brière, Dmitri Kalinin
3RD
03:12GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (13), assists: Daniel Brière
05:29GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (13), assists: Daniel Brière, Dmitri Kalinin
19:20GOAL (NJD): Erik Rasmussen (2), assists: Jim Dowd, Brad Lukowich
19:41GOAL (NJD): Brian Gionta (13), assists: John Madden, Patrik Elias
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