vs EDM (Feb 15, 2007)vs PHI (Feb 20, 2007) ›

February 17, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 43 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BOS120014
BUF120003
Shots on goal BOS 30, BUF 25W T. ThomasL R. Miller
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .900
BOS T. Thomas .880
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 8
BOS 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (P2 19:07), Sabres win chance rises from 32% to 62%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
4
SHOTS
C. Drury
27:43
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:53
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:29
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 69%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:07D. Brière (26) 32% to 62%+30
  2. P2 10:12S. Donovan (5) 64% to 39%-25
  3. P2 13:43M. Savard (19) 39% to 18%-21
  4. P2 18:20C. Drury (31) 15% to 34%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
-2
0
3
1.5
24:03
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
22:17
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
0.9
17:59
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
4
1.3
27:43
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
1.1
19:02
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-3
7
1
0.6
19:13
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
21:19
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
17:15
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
7:24
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
9:55
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.2
9:28
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:04
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:02
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:57
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.5
24:53
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
21:30
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
21:39
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:05
Total
3
6
9
18
25
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller303.9000.565:00O

Team Stats

BOSBUF
30Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances8
0%PP%38%
63%PK%100%
0PPG3
26Penalty Minutes18
27Hits15
15Blocked Shots15
21Giveaways18
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
03:59GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm (18), assists: Zdeno Chara, Marc Savard
14:13GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (3), assists: Teppo Numminen, Derek Roy
2ND
10:12GOAL (BOS): Shean Donovan (5), assists: Bobby Allen
13:43GOAL (BOS): Marc Savard (19), assists: Shean Donovan, Jason York
18:20GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (31), assists: Jason Pominville, Daniel Brière
19:07GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (26), assists: Jochen Hecht, Brian Campbell
SO
00:00GOAL (BOS): Petr Tenkrat, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
vs EDM (Feb 15, 2007)vs PHI (Feb 20, 2007) ›