vs BOS (Feb 17, 2007)vs OTT (Feb 22, 2007) ›

February 20, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI1113
BUF2226
Shots on goal PHI 35, BUF 22W R. MillerL R. Esche
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .914
PHI A. Niittymaki .750
PHI R. Esche .714
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 5
PHI 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
A. Peters goal (P1 12:03), Sabres win chance rises from 68% to 84%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
C. Drury
3
SHOTS
D. Brière
20:48
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
21:35
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 70%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 12:03A. Peters (1) 68% to 84%+16
  2. P1 11:25S. Gagne (32) 84% to 68%-16
  3. P1 04:04D. Roy (10) 70% to 84%+14
  4. P2 01:45A. Mair (2) 84% to 94%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
0
0
2
2.3
20:48
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
15:27
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
3
1.5
19:06
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
-1
0
3
1.7
16:50
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.2
19:56
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.6
19:05
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
13:58
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
10:11
#76 A. Peters (LW)
1
0
1
+1
5
1
0.8
8:02
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
21:35
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
7
1
1.2
18:56
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
11:14
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
13:58
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
13:12
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
13:26
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
19:16
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:24
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.4
21:34
Total
6
12
18
14
22
14.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller353.9141.060:00W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
35Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%60%
40%PK%100%
0PPG3
30Penalty Minutes14
20Hits19
16Blocked Shots12
17Giveaways19
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
04:04GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (10), assists: Jason Pominville, Teppo Numminen
11:25GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (32), assists: Mike Richards, Geoff Sanderson
12:03GOAL (BUF): Andrew Peters (1), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Clarke MacArthur
2ND
01:45GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (2), assists: Brian Campbell, Derek Roy
02:25GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (27), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Chris Drury
10:13GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (33), assists: Mike Richards, Joni Pitkanen
3RD
05:17GOAL (PHI): Sami Kapanen (8), assists: Joni Pitkanen, Mike Richards
07:39GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (32), assists: Daniel Brière, Jochen Hecht
13:07GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (24), assists: Daniel Brière, Jochen Hecht
vs BOS (Feb 17, 2007)vs OTT (Feb 22, 2007) ›