vs COL (Mar 7, 2007)vs NJD (Mar 10, 2007) ›

March 9, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MIN 51 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN2035
BUF0011
Shots on goal MIN 31, BUF 36W J. HardingL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .818
Buffalo T. Conklin .889
MIN J. Harding .972
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
MIN 0 of 0
TURNING POINT
D. Moore goal (P1 4:55), Sabres win chance drops from 58% to 40%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Ryan
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Brière
10
SHOTS
C. Drury
20:36
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
21:59
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.818 (18/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:55D. Moore (7) 58% to 40%-18
  2. P1 14:19D. Moore (8) 37% to 20%-17
  3. P3 03:31P. Demitra (22) 7% to 1%-6
  4. P2 12:14Hooking on Wyatt Smith, 2 min 13% to 16%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 M. Ryan (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
15:23
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.1
14:34
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
19:05
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:41
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:41
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
20:36
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
14:02
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
20:05
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
8:10
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
11:09
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
10
0.9
19:30
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.4
18:37
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:53
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
20:44
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
17:25
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
19:18
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:07
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:59
Total
1
0
1
7
36
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller224.818-1.247:32L
#35 T. Conklin91.8890.112:28

Team Stats

MINBUF
31Shots on Goal36
0Power Play Chances3
PP%0%
100%PK%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes7
11Hits13
14Blocked Shots10
12Giveaways19
3Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
04:55GOAL (MIN): Dominic Moore (7), assists: Pierre-Marc Bouchard
14:19GOAL (MIN): Dominic Moore (8), assists: Martin Skoula, Brian Rolston
3RD
03:31GOAL (MIN): Pavol Demitra (22), assists: Marian Gaborik, Brent Burns
07:32GOAL (MIN): Keith Carney (3), assists: Branko Radivojevic, Mikko Koivu
16:01GOAL (BUF): Michael Ryan (3), unassisted
19:14GOAL (MIN): Todd White (12), assists: Brent Burns
vs COL (Mar 7, 2007)vs NJD (Mar 10, 2007) ›