vs NJD (Mar 10, 2007)@ FLA (Mar 15, 2007) ›

March 13, 2007

Mellon Arena | Pittsburgh

BUF 45 PIT

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF112004
PIT112015
Shots on goal BUF 19, PIT 38W M. FleuryL R. Miller
Summary

PIT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .895
PIT M. Fleury .789
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
PIT 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (P3 19:53), Sabres win chance rises from 0% to 50%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
J. Hecht
21:14
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
23:22
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.895 (34/38)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 2:36
+20+100-10-20shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:53C. Drury (34) 0% to 50%+50
  2. P2 18:17D. Kalinin (6) 23% to 51%+28
  3. P2 16:33M. Talbot (10) 51% to 24%-27
  4. P3 01:18S. Crosby (29) 46% to 21%-25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
2
2.2
20:41
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.5
17:50
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.4
19:11
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.7
21:14
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
13:15
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
1.0
21:45
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
20:43
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:15
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:56
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:17
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
8:07
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
20:17
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:41
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:51
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
23:14
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
22:28
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
23:22
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:12
Total
4
8
12
6
19
9.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller384.8950.464:21O

Team Stats

BUFPIT
19Shots on Goal38
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%67%
33%PK%100%
0PPG2
6Penalty Minutes4
15Hits32
6Blocked Shots15
4Giveaways5
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
16:27GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (28), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
17:08GOAL (PIT): Ryan Malone (15), assists: Sergei Gonchar, Sidney Crosby
2ND
16:33GOAL (PIT): Max Talbot (10), assists: Alain Nasreddine, Ryan Whitney
18:17GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (6), assists: Chris Drury, Michael Ryan
3RD
01:18GOAL (PIT): Sidney Crosby (29), assists: Mark Recchi, Ryan Whitney
10:38GOAL (PIT): Sergei Gonchar (13), assists: Ryan Whitney, Sidney Crosby
12:46GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (29), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
19:53GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (34), assists: Daniel Brière, Brian Campbell
SO
00:00GOAL (PIT): Erik Christensen, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford, assists: Marc-Andre Fleury(SO)
00:00GOAL (PIT): Sidney Crosby, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
vs NJD (Mar 10, 2007)@ FLA (Mar 15, 2007) ›