vs NJD (Mar 28, 2007)@ MTL (Mar 31, 2007) ›

March 30, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 46 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI1034
BUF5016
Shots on goal NYI 29, BUF 30W R. MillerL M. Dunham
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .862
NYI M. Dunham .583
NYI W. Dubielewicz .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 7
NYI 3 of 8
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P1 7:55), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 77%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
C. Drury
20:30
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
21:36
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.862 (25/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 07:55T. Vanek (38) 59% to 77%+18
  2. P1 02:14D. Roy (17) 58% to 75%+17
  3. P1 04:28J. Blake (39) 74% to 60%-14
  4. P1 10:03C. Drury (36) 79% to 90%+11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
1
3
+1
0
4
2.7
20:30
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
3
3
+1
2
2
2.1
15:37
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
19:41
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
1
2
0
2
2
1.5
14:04
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
0
2
3
1.9
16:00
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
0
4
2
1.1
15:53
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
1
0
1
0
2
1
1.0
18:43
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
13:43
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
13:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
7:15
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
16:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:42
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
15:02
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
18:19
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
1
0.1
18:07
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
4:36
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
1
0.1
21:36
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
18:09
Total
6
9
15
20
30
13.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller294.862-0.559:11W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
29Shots on Goal30
8Power Play Chances7
38%PP%43%
57%PK%63%
3PPG3
18Penalty Minutes20
13Hits18
9Blocked Shots13
10Giveaways17
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
02:14GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (17), assists: Jason Pominville
04:28GOAL (NYI): Jason Blake (39), assists: Mike Sillinger, Tom Poti
07:55GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (38), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford
10:03GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (36), assists: Jason Pominville, Daniel Brière
10:56GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (13), assists: Thomas Vanek, Jason Pominville
14:57GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (37), unassisted
3RD
02:38GOAL (NYI): Viktor Kozlov (23), assists: Sean Hill, Chris Campoli
05:01GOAL (NYI): Tom Poti (5), assists: Arron Asham, Marc-Andre Bergeron
12:31GOAL (BUF): Dainius Zubrus (23), assists: Daniel Brière, Chris Drury
19:20GOAL (NYI): Viktor Kozlov (24), assists: Alexei Yashin, Miroslav Satan
vs NJD (Mar 28, 2007)@ MTL (Mar 31, 2007) ›