vs NYI (Mar 30, 2007)@ PIT (Apr 3, 2007) ›

March 31, 2007

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 34 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
MTL1214
Shots on goal BUF 25, MTL 19W J. HalakL T. Conklin
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4.

IN NET
Buffalo T. Conklin .789
MTL J. Halak .880
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
MTL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
R. Bonk goal (P2 6:39), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 31%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Zubrus
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Zubrus
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
19:53
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
21:59
TOI (D)
T. Conklin
.789 (15/19)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:39R. Bonk (13) 54% to 31%-23
  2. P1 15:33M. Ryder (27) 74% to 55%-19
  3. P1 09:20D. Brière (32) 55% to 73%+18
  4. P2 08:16M. Lapierre (6) 30% to 13%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:53
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
4
1.1
16:40
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
7:50
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
0
4
0
0.3
19:05
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
17:25
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
18:40
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:40
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
17:40
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.7
17:07
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
13:27
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:58
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
18:13
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
20:03
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
16:40
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
21:07
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
19:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
21:59
Total
3
6
9
4
25
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 T. Conklin194.789-1.559:30L

Team Stats

BUFMTL
25Shots on Goal19
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes4
9Hits20
9Blocked Shots18
12Giveaways15
14Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
09:20GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (32), assists: Jochen Hecht, Teppo Numminen
15:33GOAL (MTL): Michael Ryder (27), assists: Francis Bouillon, Mark Streit
2ND
06:39GOAL (MTL): Radek Bonk (13), assists: Janne Niinimaa
08:16GOAL (MTL): Maxim Lapierre (6), assists: Alex Kovalev, Andrei Markov
18:59GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (39), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford
3RD
03:22GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (20), unassisted
07:15GOAL (BUF): Dainius Zubrus (24), assists: Daniel Paille, Chris Drury
vs NYI (Mar 30, 2007)@ PIT (Apr 3, 2007) ›