@ MTL (Mar 31, 2007)vs BOS (Apr 5, 2007) ›

April 3, 2007

Mellon Arena | Pittsburgh

BUF 41 PIT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1124
PIT1001
Shots on goal BUF 26, PIT 23W R. MillerL M. Fleury
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .957
PIT M. Fleury .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
PIT 0 of 8
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P2 2:10), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 72%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
4
SHOTS
C. Drury
20:11
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:56
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:10D. Roy (18) 50% to 72%+22
  2. P1 12:01M. Recchi (23) 69% to 50%-19
  3. P1 10:59D. Kalinin (7) 50% to 69%+19
  4. P3 04:32T. Vanek (40) 81% to 95%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.7
14:55
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.6
11:32
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+2
2
0
1.0
17:11
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.4
18:19
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.8
18:17
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:02
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.2
19:50
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
16:53
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
19:58
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
11:18
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
4:47
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
20:11
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
2:21
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.4
21:56
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
12:56
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
0.0
21:38
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:27
Total
4
8
12
16
26
10.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller231.9571.559:50W

Team Stats

BUFPIT
26Shots on Goal23
6Power Play Chances8
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
16Penalty Minutes12
12Hits14
14Blocked Shots21
2Giveaways11
0Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
10:59GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (7), assists: Teppo Numminen, Jochen Hecht
12:01GOAL (PIT): Mark Recchi (23), assists: Jordan Staal, Ryan Malone
2ND
02:10GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (18), assists: Drew Stafford, Thomas Vanek
3RD
04:32GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (40), assists: Drew Stafford, Daniel Brière
05:38GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (33), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
@ MTL (Mar 31, 2007)vs BOS (Apr 5, 2007) ›