vs NYI (Apr 14, 2007) ›

April 12, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI0101
BUF1124
Shots on goal NYI 21, BUF 35W R. MillerL W. Dubielewicz
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .952
NYI W. Dubielewicz .886
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
NYI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Asham goal (P2 6:58), Sabres win chance drops from 80% to 58%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. Campbell
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
8
SHOTS
D. Zubrus
20:06
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:08
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.952 (20/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+22+110-11-22shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:58A. Asham (1) 80% to 58%-22
  2. P2 11:13C. Drury (1) 61% to 80%+19
  3. P1 09:30B. Campbell (1) 60% to 77%+17
  4. P3 01:08C. Drury (2) 84% to 96%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
3
3
0
0
2
2.2
20:06
#51 B. Campbell (D)
2
1
3
+1
0
7
2.8
17:20
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
8
2.2
19:43
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
12:39
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
6:37
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
19:03
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
18:41
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:11
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
11:19
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.2
6:52
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
16:51
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:06
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.3
17:13
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
15:24
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:08
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
13:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:41
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
18:40
Total
4
8
12
12
35
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller211.9521.359:42W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
21Shots on Goal35
3Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
18Penalty Minutes12
22Hits23
15Blocked Shots13
14Giveaways7
1Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
09:30GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Adam Mair
2ND
06:58GOAL (NYI): Arron Asham (1), assists: Jason Blake, Randy Robitaille
11:13GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (1), assists: Brian Campbell, Dainius Zubrus
3RD
01:08GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (2), assists: Dainius Zubrus, Teppo Numminen
16:35GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (2), assists: Daniel Brière, Dainius Zubrus
vs NYI (Apr 14, 2007) ›