@ NYI (Apr 18, 2007)vs NYR (Apr 25, 2007) ›

April 20, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI0033
BUF1214
Shots on goal NYI 33, BUF 27W R. MillerL R. DiPietro
Summary

NYI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .909
NYI R. DiPietro .852
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NYI 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Stafford goal (P1 15:04), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 78%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Brière
19:13
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
24:27
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 15 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:04D. Stafford (1) 59% to 78%+19
  2. P2 00:39J. Pominville (2) 78% to 91%+13
  3. P3 13:07C. Campoli (1) 99% to 91%-8
  4. P2 11:29D. Roy (1) 93% to 98%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
12:47
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
1.0
14:38
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
12:17
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
14:27
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
14:04
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
7:03
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
11:42
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:04
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
19:13
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
16:26
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:44
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:39
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
23:41
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
15:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.3
24:27
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+4
0
0
0.2
17:25
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+4
2
2
0.2
20:58
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:16
Total
4
6
10
8
27
9.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller333.9090.860:00W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
33Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes8
24Hits20
17Blocked Shots24
10Giveaways11
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
15:04GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Adam Mair
2ND
00:39GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (2), assists: Daniel Brière
11:29GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Ales Kotalik, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
04:22GOAL (NYI): Miroslav Satan (1), assists: Chris Campoli, Jason Blake
06:38GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (1), assists: Thomas Vanek
09:43GOAL (NYI): Trent Hunter (3), assists: Bruno Gervais, Ryan Smyth
13:07GOAL (NYI): Chris Campoli (1), assists: Richard Park, Miroslav Satan
@ NYI (Apr 18, 2007)vs NYR (Apr 25, 2007) ›