vs NYR (May 4, 2007)vs OTT (May 10, 2007) ›

May 6, 2007

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 54 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-timeFull Round 2 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0415
NYR1124
Shots on goal BUF 29, NYR 36W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .889
NYR H. Lundqvist .828
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
NYR 3 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P2 7:41), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 74%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (3A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:48
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
24:43
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.889 (32/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 07:41J. Hecht (1) 51% to 74%+23
  2. P2 02:53J. Pominville (4) 51% to 73%+22
  3. P2 01:29D. Kalinin (2) 29% to 51%+22
  4. P1 17:10M. Nylander (5) 51% to 30%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
3
3
+1
2
1
1.9
14:13
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.4
20:45
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.7
20:31
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
3
1.8
20:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.8
13:54
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
5:36
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
9:19
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
13:07
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
4
1.2
19:50
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:52
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:02
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:27
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.1
23:36
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:29
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
24:43
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
19:02
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
15:13
Total
5
9
14
8
29
12.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller364.8890.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
29Shots on Goal36
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%75%
25%PK%75%
1PPG3
10Penalty Minutes10
20Hits28
25Blocked Shots19
2Giveaways10
3Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
17:10GOAL (NYR): Michael Nylander (5), assists: Paul Mara, Martin Straka
2ND
01:29GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (2), assists: Ales Kotalik, Daniel Brière
02:53GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (4), assists: Adam Mair, Paul Gaustad
04:40GOAL (NYR): Paul Mara (2), assists: Karel Rachunek
07:41GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Chris Drury, Dainius Zubrus
11:15GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (7), assists: Daniel Brière, Dainius Zubrus
3RD
05:08GOAL (NYR): Jaromir Jagr (5), assists: Martin Straka, Karel Rachunek
14:50GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (2), assists: Daniel Brière
17:09GOAL (NYR): Michael Nylander (6), assists: Martin Straka, Michal Rozsival
vs NYR (May 4, 2007)vs OTT (May 10, 2007) ›