vs TOR (Oct 15, 2007)@ MTL (Oct 20, 2007) ›

October 19, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CBJ 30 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CBJ all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ0213
BUF0000
Shots on goal CBJ 29, BUF 21W P. LeclaireL R. Miller
Summary

CBJ had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
CBJ P. Leclaire 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
CBJ 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Peca goal (P2 6:31), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 30%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
D. Roy
3
SHOTS
D. Roy
23:32
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (26/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCBJ

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCBJ

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCBJ
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:31M. Peca (1) 54% to 30%-24
  2. P2 13:10R. Nash (4) 27% to 11%-16
  3. P2 06:15Roughing on Adam Foote, 2 min 50% to 54%+4
  4. P2 06:15Slashing on Derek Roy, 2 min 54% to 50%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.3
23:32
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
15:30
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
18:44
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:30
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:20
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
17:45
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
17:14
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:54
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:47
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
15:36
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.6
17:30
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.3
19:22
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:29
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
17:18
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
13:59
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
19:39
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:31
Total
0
0
0
14
21
2.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller282.9291.159:27L

Team Stats

CBJBUF
29Shots on Goal21
6Power Play Chances5
17%PP%0%
100%PK%83%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes14
10Hits11
11Blocked Shots14
3Giveaways9
7Takeaways3

Full Game Log

2ND
06:31GOAL (CBJ): Michael Peca (1), assists: Rick Nash
13:10GOAL (CBJ): Rick Nash (4), assists: Michael Peca, Kris Russell
3RD
19:02GOAL (CBJ): Nikolay Zherdev (1), unassisted
vs TOR (Oct 15, 2007)@ MTL (Oct 20, 2007) ›