vs CBJ (Oct 19, 2007)@ CAR (Oct 24, 2007) ›

October 20, 2007

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 24 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0202
MTL1124
Shots on goal BUF 27, MTL 27W C. HuetL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .885
MTL C. Huet .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
MTL 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
R. Hamrlik goal (P3 12:38), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 9%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
19:52
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
24:08
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.885 (23/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 28 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:38R. Hamrlik (1) 45% to 9%-36
  2. P2 07:10K. Chipchura (1) 73% to 49%-24
  3. P2 04:21D. Roy (5) 49% to 72%+23
  4. P2 04:12P. Gaustad (2) 29% to 49%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
-1
2
4
1.0
19:52
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.4
17:44
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.6
16:11
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
15:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.5
24:08
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:26
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
8:44
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
11:32
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:35
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
15:05
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
15:16
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
15:44
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
22:00
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
20:49
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
15:21
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
10:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
23:59
Total
2
3
5
16
27
5.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller263.8850.159:32L

Team Stats

BUFMTL
27Shots on Goal27
6Power Play Chances6
17%PP%33%
67%PK%83%
1PPG2
16Penalty Minutes14
16Hits34
17Blocked Shots15
7Giveaways9
11Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
02:34GOAL (MTL): Bryan Smolinski (1), assists: Roman Hamrlik, Mikhail Grabovski
2ND
04:12GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (2), assists: Tim Connolly, Brian Campbell
04:21GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (5), assists: Thomas Vanek
07:10GOAL (MTL): Kyle Chipchura (1), unassisted
3RD
12:38GOAL (MTL): Roman Hamrlik (1), assists: Mark Streit, Chris Higgins
19:35GOAL (MTL): Chris Higgins (2), assists: Roman Hamrlik
vs CBJ (Oct 19, 2007)@ CAR (Oct 24, 2007) ›