@ TBL (Oct 27, 2007)vs FLA (Nov 2, 2007) ›

November 1, 2007

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 34 BOS

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF01203
BOS02114
Shots on goal BUF 30, BOS 24W T. ThomasL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .833
BOS T. Thomas .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 3
BOS 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Sturm goal (OT 4:07), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
21:10
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
29:00
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.833 (20/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 39 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:07
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

OT 4:07
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:07M. Sturm (5) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P3 08:18P. Gaustad (4) 16% to 49%+33
  3. P3 03:08M. Savard (2) 48% to 18%-30
  4. P3 02:09B. Campbell (2) 22% to 48%+26

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
2
2
0
4
4
1.4
14:17
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.4
18:08
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
-2
0
1
1.4
22:59
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.2
17:30
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.2
17:53
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
29:00
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
21:10
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
19:28
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
17:18
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:28
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
4:59
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
19:58
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
21:06
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
1:46
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
23:21
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
27:53
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:49
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:58
Total
3
6
9
10
30
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller244.833-1.063:45O

Team Stats

BUFBOS
30Shots on Goal24
3Power Play Chances5
67%PP%20%
80%PK%33%
2PPG1
10Penalty Minutes6
9Hits17
7Blocked Shots9
4Giveaways7
3Takeaways6

Full Game Log

2ND
02:07GOAL (BOS): Glen Metropolit (2), assists: Marc Savard, Peter Schaefer
07:39GOAL (BOS): Phil Kessel (6), assists: Marco Sturm
17:31GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (3), assists: Thomas Vanek, Paul Gaustad
3RD
02:09GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (2), assists: Ales Kotalik, Jaroslav Spacek
03:08GOAL (BOS): Marc Savard (2), assists: Glen Murray, Aaron Ward
08:18GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (4), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Ales Kotalik
OT
04:07GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm (5), assists: Aaron Ward, Glen Metropolit
@ TBL (Oct 27, 2007)vs FLA (Nov 2, 2007) ›