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November 2, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA1304
BUF0112
Shots on goal FLA 24, BUF 28W T. VokounL J. Thibault
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo J. Thibault .833
FLA T. Vokoun .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
FLA 0 of 0
TURNING POINT
R. Zednik goal (P2 13:35), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 27%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
6
SHOTS
J. Pominville
19:07
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
26:32
TOI (D)
J. Thibault
.833 (20/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 13:35R. Zednik (4) 54% to 27%-27
  2. P2 09:08J. Hecht (4) 29% to 54%+25
  3. P1 05:32R. Dvorak (1) 56% to 36%-20
  4. P2 16:50R. Zednik (5) 26% to 9%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-3
0
1
0.8
17:07
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
17:29
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-3
0
5
1.1
15:21
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
19:07
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.4
17:12
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
19:29
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:43
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:21
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:47
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.1
11:36
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
5
3
0.4
17:33
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
10:58
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
15:01
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
13:27
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:50
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:42
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
18:48
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
26:32
Total
2
4
6
10
28
7.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 J. Thibault244.833-1.057:57L

Team Stats

FLABUF
24Shots on Goal28
0Power Play Chances4
PP%25%
75%PK%
0PPG1
18Penalty Minutes10
13Hits16
13Blocked Shots17
1Giveaways3
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
05:32GOAL (FLA): Radek Dvorak (1), assists: Gregory Campbell, Brett McLean
2ND
09:08GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (4), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Tim Connolly
13:35GOAL (FLA): Richard Zednik (4), assists: Jozef Stumpel
16:50GOAL (FLA): Richard Zednik (5), assists: Jozef Stumpel, Stephen Weiss
18:37GOAL (FLA): Olli Jokinen (8), assists: Nathan Horton, Ville Peltonen
3RD
16:37GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (4), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
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