vs BOS (Nov 7, 2007)@ BOS (Nov 10, 2007) ›

November 9, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 30 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0123
BUF0000
Shots on goal TOR 23, BUF 30W A. RaycroftL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 0-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .870
TOR A. Raycroft 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
TOR 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. McCabe goal (P2 19:24), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 24%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
D. Roy
21:54
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
26:17
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.870 (20/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:24B. McCabe (3) 53% to 24%-29
  2. P3 02:54M. Sundin (9) 22% to 6%-16
  3. P2 09:21Delaying game puck over glass on Pavel Kubina, 2 min 54% to 58%+4
  4. P1 17:43Roughing on Tomas Kaberle, 2 min 54% to 58%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
21:54
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
16:09
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:22
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
19:04
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.6
21:41
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
17:19
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
17:58
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
7:35
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
11:44
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:03
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
18:13
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:21
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:19
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.3
24:22
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:12
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:18
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
11:32
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
26:17
Total
0
0
0
2
30
2.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller233.870-0.259:37L

Team Stats

TORBUF
23Shots on Goal30
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes4
17Hits19
20Blocked Shots7
4Giveaways7
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

2ND
19:24GOAL (TOR): Bryan McCabe (3), assists: Mats Sundin
3RD
02:54GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (9), assists: Tomas Kaberle, Alexei Ponikarovsky
19:01GOAL (TOR): Boyd Devereaux (2), assists: Matt Stajan
vs BOS (Nov 7, 2007)@ BOS (Nov 10, 2007) ›