vs BOS (Dec 10, 2007)@ WSH (Dec 14, 2007) ›

December 12, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 35 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI0213
BUF1315
Shots on goal NYI 31, BUF 41W R. MillerL R. DiPietro
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .903
NYI R. DiPietro .878
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
NYI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
N. Pratt goal (P1 8:43), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 76%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
3 (3A)
POINTS
A. Mair
6
SHOTS
T. Connolly
23:54
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
26:19
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.903 (28/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 08:43N. Pratt (1) 58% to 76%+18
  2. P2 04:04T. Lydman (1) 78% to 91%+13
  3. P3 04:00M. Sillinger (7) 96% to 84%-12
  4. P3 08:14J. Hecht (10) 87% to 98%+11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
3
3
+2
0
3
2.2
20:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.8
14:53
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
13:03
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
4
1.0
20:44
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
1.2
23:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
4
0.8
16:32
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.2
16:26
#4 N. Pratt (D)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
9:25
#5 T. Lydman (D)
1
0
1
+2
4
1
0.6
19:17
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
13:48
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
10:28
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
11:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.6
10:21
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
13:44
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
3:37
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
26:06
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
19:37
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
26:19
Total
5
9
14
12
41
13.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller313.9030.658:54W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
31Shots on Goal41
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%17%
83%PK%80%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes12
19Hits8
8Blocked Shots13
2Giveaways16
3Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
08:43GOAL (BUF): Nolan Pratt (1), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Paul Gaustad
2ND
04:04GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman (1), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Nathan Paetsch
05:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (9), assists: Jason Pominville
06:17GOAL (NYI): Miroslav Satan (8), assists: Mike Sillinger, Marc-Andre Bergeron
09:34GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (11), assists: Ales Kotalik, Jason Pominville
16:45GOAL (NYI): Richard Park (4), assists: Sean Bergenheim, Radek Martinek
3RD
04:00GOAL (NYI): Mike Sillinger (7), assists: Andy Hilbert, Trent Hunter
08:14GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (10), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
vs BOS (Dec 10, 2007)@ WSH (Dec 14, 2007) ›