vs NYI (Dec 12, 2007)vs CHI (Dec 15, 2007) ›

December 14, 2007

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 53 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1135
WSH1113
Shots on goal BUF 30, WSH 23W R. MillerL O. Kolzig
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .870
WSH O. Kolzig .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
WSH 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P3 16:18), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 94%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:07
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
26:33
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.870 (20/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 28 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:18T. Connolly (5) 50% to 94%+44
  2. P3 05:09B. Laich (6) 83% to 51%-32
  3. P3 00:19D. Stafford (6) 51% to 80%+29
  4. P2 18:42M. Afinogenov (5) 22% to 51%+29

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P1 13:12
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.8
20:07
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.9
18:03
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
16:41
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.9
13:31
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
19:21
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.1
18:01
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
0.8
18:53
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
21:45
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
7:25
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
26:33
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
16:01
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
10:46
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:23
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
17:15
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:17
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
25:27
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
21:50
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
12:01
Total
5
7
12
6
30
11.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller233.870-0.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
30Shots on Goal23
6Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes12
23Hits18
13Blocked Shots19
19Giveaways25
6Takeaways13

Full Game Log

1ST
13:12GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (23), assists: Nicklas Backstrom, Michael Nylander
18:57GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (12), unassisted
2ND
00:38GOAL (WSH): Nicklas Backstrom (5), assists: Viktor Kozlov
18:42GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (5), assists: Andrej Sekera, Paul Gaustad
3RD
00:19GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (6), assists: Brian Campbell, Derek Roy
05:09GOAL (WSH): Brooks Laich (6), assists: Milan Jurcina, Tom Poti
16:18GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (5), assists: Jason Pominville, Toni Lydman
18:46GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (11), assists: Jason Pominville
vs NYI (Dec 12, 2007)vs CHI (Dec 15, 2007) ›