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January 12, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NJD 32 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NJD011013
BUF200002
Shots on goal NJD 25, BUF 23W M. BrodeurL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .920
NJD M. Brodeur .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
NJD 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Clarkson goal (P3 18:53), Sabres win chance drops from 98% to 51%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Paille
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Paille
3
SHOTS
J. Hecht
26:37
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
27:20
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:57
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:53D. Clarkson (5) 98% to 51%-47
  2. P1 00:58D. Paille (7) 53% to 71%+18
  3. P2 13:47P. Martin (3) 92% to 78%-14
  4. P1 10:38D. Paille (8) 72% to 86%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#20 D. Paille (LW)
2
0
2
+2
0
3
1.9
16:23
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
18:21
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
20:15
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
23:56
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
27:20
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.1
18:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:39
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
15:43
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
23:22
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:34
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:18
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:58
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
26:37
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
1:34
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
24:48
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
24:20
Total
2
4
6
4
23
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller252.9200.864:57O

Team Stats

NJDBUF
25Shots on Goal23
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes4
34Hits19
11Blocked Shots16
9Giveaways17
3Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
00:58GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (7), assists: Brian Campbell, Drew Stafford
10:38GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (8), assists: Paul Gaustad, Toni Lydman
2ND
13:47GOAL (NJD): Paul Martin (3), assists: Johnny Oduya, Brian Gionta
3RD
18:53GOAL (NJD): David Clarkson (5), assists: Andy Greene
SO
00:00GOAL (NJD): Zach Parise, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
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