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January 10, 2008

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 23 OTT

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF002002
OTT020013
Shots on goal BUF 24, OTT 25W M. GerberL J. Thibault
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo J. Thibault .920
OTT M. Gerber .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
OTT 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Paille goal (P3 12:52), Sabres win chance rises from 9% to 46%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Paille
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
5
SHOTS
J. Hecht
26:34
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
29:43
TOI (D)
J. Thibault
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 32 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:37
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:52D. Paille (6) 9% to 46%+37
  2. P2 00:24S. Donovan (5) 42% to 22%-20
  3. P2 17:08D. Alfredsson (26) 21% to 7%-14
  4. P3 12:52High sticking double minor on Andrej Meszaros, 4 min 46% to 59%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
8:52
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
12:32
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
5
2
1.1
19:12
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.1
24:43
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
16:55
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
27:34
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.1
15:54
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:43
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
18:00
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
5:04
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
15:21
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
26:34
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:10
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:46
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.1
26:20
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
14:36
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
20:01
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
29:43
Total
2
4
6
17
24
6.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 J. Thibault252.9200.865:00O

Team Stats

BUFOTT
24Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
17Penalty Minutes13
22Hits19
15Blocked Shots10
10Giveaways18
4Takeaways12

Full Game Log

2ND
00:24GOAL (OTT): Shean Donovan (5), assists: Chris Kelly, Antoine Vermette
17:08GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (26), assists: Mike Fisher, Anton Volchenkov
3RD
01:38GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (5), assists: Jason Pominville, Henrik Tallinder
12:52GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (6), assists: Paul Gaustad, Ales Kotalik
SO
00:00GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher, assists: Jocelyn Thibault(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, assists: Martin Gerber(SO)
00:00GOAL (OTT): Dean McAmmond, assists: Jocelyn Thibault(SO)
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