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January 21, 2008

Jobing.com Arena | Glendale

BUF 26 PHX

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHX all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
PHX1326
Shots on goal BUF 21, PHX 33W I. BryzgalovL J. Thibault
Summary

PHX had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo J. Thibault .818
PHX I. Bryzgalov .905
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
PHX 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad goal (P1 10:54), Sabres win chance rises from 30% to 50%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:10
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
23:27
TOI (D)
J. Thibault
.818 (27/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHX

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 12 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFPHX

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHX
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 10:54P. Gaustad (7) 30% to 50%+20
  2. P2 01:57N. Kapanen (6) 46% to 28%-18
  3. P1 00:54D. Winnik (5) 50% to 32%-18
  4. P2 05:08S. Doan (16) 27% to 11%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
1.0
20:10
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
15:04
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:24
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
16:22
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
17:45
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:43
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:16
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.5
19:03
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
5:20
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
16:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:00
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
13:49
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
17:23
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
21:18
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:31
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
8:35
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
17:35
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
23:27
Total
2
4
6
8
21
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 J. Thibault336.818-1.860:00L

Team Stats

BUFPHX
21Shots on Goal33
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%40%
60%PK%100%
0PPG2
10Penalty Minutes8
19Hits20
4Blocked Shots16
2Giveaways2
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
00:54GOAL (PHX): Daniel Winnik (5), assists: Martin Hanzal, Zbynek Michalek
10:54GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (7), assists: Daniel Paille, Ales Kotalik
2ND
01:57GOAL (PHX): Niko Kapanen (6), unassisted
05:08GOAL (PHX): Shane Doan (16), assists: Joel Perrault, Keith Yandle
07:30GOAL (PHX): Derek Morris (4), assists: Fredrik Sjostrom, Keith Ballard
3RD
01:51GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (12), assists: Thomas Vanek, Derek Roy
17:03GOAL (PHX): Peter Mueller (13), assists: Shane Doan, Nick Boynton
18:08GOAL (PHX): Ed Jovanovski (6), assists: Peter Mueller, Steve Reinprecht
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