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January 24, 2008

American Airlines Center | Dallas

BUF 21 DAL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DAL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
DAL0101
Shots on goal BUF 19, DAL 26W R. MillerL M. Turco
Summary

DAL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .962
DAL M. Turco .895
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
DAL 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P3 5:12), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 80%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
23:04
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:58
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDAL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFDAL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDAL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:12D. Roy (18) 47% to 80%+33
  2. P2 17:08S. Barnes (8) 75% to 47%-28
  3. P1 01:51D. Roy (17) 45% to 63%+18
  4. P1 12:20Fighting on Andrew Peters, 5 min 66% to 57%-9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
5
1.9
23:04
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
2
2
+1
2
1
1.2
15:26
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.7
17:39
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:35
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
17:58
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
3:18
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:13
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:48
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:22
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
13:45
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
22:30
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.4
2:18
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
10:09
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.3
24:58
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:45
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
0.0
23:09
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
12:03
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
22:00
Total
2
4
6
15
19
6.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller261.9621.860:00W

Team Stats

BUFDAL
19Shots on Goal26
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
17Penalty Minutes23
16Hits23
11Blocked Shots9
10Giveaways16
9Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
01:51GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (17), assists: Drew Stafford, Thomas Vanek
2ND
17:08GOAL (DAL): Stu Barnes (8), assists: Mattias Norstrom, Matt Niskanen
3RD
05:12GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (18), assists: Thomas Vanek, Drew Stafford
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