@ FLA (Jan 30, 2008)@ BOS (Feb 5, 2008) ›

February 1, 2008

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 45 ATL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF031004
ATL202015
Shots on goal BUF 33, ATL 29W J. HedbergL J. Thibault
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 4-5 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .900
Buffalo J. Thibault .778
ATL J. Hedberg .879
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
ATL 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Enstrom goal (P3 19:42), Sabres win chance drops from 97% to 44%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Paille
5
SHOTS
J. Hecht
24:31
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
27:46
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.900 (18/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:57
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:42T. Enstrom (4) 97% to 44%-53
  2. P3 05:11D. Kalinin (1) 53% to 84%+31
  3. P3 02:25J. Slater (2) 82% to 53%-29
  4. P2 15:57D. Paille (11) 50% to 77%+27

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
-1
0
3
1.9
22:23
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
15:45
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
16:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
0.9
22:10
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.5
15:20
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
24:31
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
4
1
0.5
25:08
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
19:22
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
2
2
1.0
26:21
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
16:16
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
0.9
27:46
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
7:19
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
15:53
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:55
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:28
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:43
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
2:36
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:35
Total
4
8
12
16
33
10.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller202.9000.340:00
#35 J. Thibault92.778-0.824:53O

Team Stats

BUFATL
33Shots on Goal29
5Power Play Chances6
40%PP%17%
83%PK%60%
2PPG1
16Penalty Minutes14
14Hits24
12Blocked Shots7
10Giveaways9
13Takeaways17

Full Game Log

1ST
05:58GOAL (ATL): Mark Recchi (10), assists: Todd White, Toby Enstrom
08:19GOAL (ATL): Bobby Holik (10), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov
2ND
07:55GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (17), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Brian Campbell
09:16GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (13), assists: Toni Lydman, Clarke MacArthur
15:57GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (11), assists: Derek Roy, Henrik Tallinder
3RD
02:25GOAL (ATL): Jim Slater (2), assists: Eric Boulton, Chris Thorburn
05:11GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (1), assists: Derek Roy, Ales Kotalik
19:42GOAL (ATL): Toby Enstrom (4), assists: Marian Hossa, Bobby Holik
SO
00:00GOAL (ATL): Eric Perrin, assists: Jocelyn Thibault(SO)
@ FLA (Jan 30, 2008)@ BOS (Feb 5, 2008) ›