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January 30, 2008

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 10 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
FLA0000
Shots on goal BUF 41, FLA 32W R. MillerL T. Vokoun
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 1-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
FLA T. Vokoun .976
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
FLA 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 0:40), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 73%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
9
SHOTS
J. Hecht
22:31
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
21:49
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (32/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:40T. Vanek (14) 54% to 73%+19
  2. P3 08:41Hooking on Dmitri Kalinin, 2 min 86% to 81%-5
  3. P2 14:43Tripping on Jaroslav Spacek, 2 min 77% to 73%-4
  4. P1 19:59Holding the stick on Richard Zednik, 2 min 52% to 55%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.1
19:48
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
9
1.4
16:55
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.1
20:43
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
16:22
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:38
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:49
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:36
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:15
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:05
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:33
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:13
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.6
22:31
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:29
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
21:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
21:18
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:53
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
21:49
Total
1
2
3
4
41
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller3201.0003.259:50W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
41Shots on Goal32
3Power Play Chances2
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
1PPG0
4Penalty Minutes6
9Hits14
12Blocked Shots13
7Giveaways8
0Takeaways1

Full Game Log

2ND
00:40GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (14), assists: Jason Pominville, Derek Roy
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