@ ATL (Feb 1, 2008)vs NJD (Feb 6, 2008) ›

February 5, 2008

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 42 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1124
BOS1012
Shots on goal BUF 28, BOS 32W R. MillerL T. Thomas
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .938
BOS T. Thomas .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 5:44), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 72%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Paille
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
21:07
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
23:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 19 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 05:44T. Vanek (15) 49% to 72%+23
  2. P1 09:48P. Axelsson (10) 68% to 49%-19
  3. P1 03:30D. Paille (12) 49% to 67%+18
  4. P3 13:54D. Paille (13) 90% to 99%+9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#20 D. Paille (LW)
2
0
2
+1
0
2
1.9
17:34
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.6
18:59
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
1
1.2
17:39
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
0.9
13:59
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:49
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
18:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.2
19:59
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
15:57
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
23:31
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
21:07
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:21
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
16:06
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
7:24
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:38
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
5
2
0.2
4:27
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
12:28
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
23:27
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:30
Total
4
8
12
9
28
11.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller322.9381.559:55W

Team Stats

BUFBOS
28Shots on Goal32
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
11Penalty Minutes15
12Hits24
15Blocked Shots9
6Giveaways4
4Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
03:30GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (12), assists: Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht
09:48GOAL (BOS): P.J. Axelsson (10), assists: David Krejci, Peter Schaefer
2ND
05:44GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (15), assists: Drew Stafford, Brian Campbell
3RD
13:54GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (13), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
18:27GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman (2), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Ales Kotalik
19:59GOAL (BOS): Glen Metropolit (11), assists: Mark Stuart, Chuck Kobasew
@ ATL (Feb 1, 2008)vs NJD (Feb 6, 2008) ›