vs DET (Mar 2, 2008)vs WSH (Mar 5, 2008) ›

March 4, 2008

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 52 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2035
PHI1102
Shots on goal BUF 21, PHI 21W R. MillerL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .905
PHI A. Niittymaki 1.000
PHI M. Biron .722
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
PHI 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P3 1:06), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 77%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
26:19
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
24:47
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.905 (19/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:06D. Roy (26) 47% to 77%+30
  2. P2 05:51S. Downie (6) 71% to 47%-24
  3. P1 01:02J. Pominville (21) 46% to 64%+18
  4. P1 14:34S. Upshall (11) 83% to 67%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
2
1
3
+3
0
2
2.4
18:27
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
2
0
2
+2
0
3
1.8
18:40
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.5
12:36
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.3
6:58
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.2
26:19
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
6:19
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
1.0
20:24
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
0
0.3
21:48
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
15:03
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.5
13:50
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
18:04
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
15:47
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:26
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
20:19
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
12
0
-0.3
3:00
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:29
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
4
3
-0.1
23:14
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.4
24:47
Total
5
9
14
26
21
11.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller212.9050.459:56W

Team Stats

BUFPHI
21Shots on Goal21
6Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
28Penalty Minutes18
15Hits11
15Blocked Shots14
10Giveaways13
8Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
01:02GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (21), assists: Henrik Tallinder
09:55GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (8), assists: Steve Bernier, Henrik Tallinder
14:34GOAL (PHI): Scottie Upshall (11), assists: Kimmo Timonen, Jeff Carter
2ND
05:51GOAL (PHI): Steve Downie (6), assists: Sami Kapanen, Jaroslav Modry
3RD
01:06GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (26), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Toni Lydman
01:24GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (22), assists: Nolan Pratt, Nathan Paetsch
05:57GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (9), assists: Steve Bernier, Adam Mair
vs DET (Mar 2, 2008)vs WSH (Mar 5, 2008) ›