@ PHI (Mar 4, 2008)@ CAR (Mar 8, 2008) ›

March 5, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH1113
BUF0101
Shots on goal WSH 23, BUF 26W O. KolzigL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .870
WSH O. Kolzig .962
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
WSH 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
N. Backstrom goal (P2 13:27), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 28%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
23:05
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
23:39
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.870 (20/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 13:27N. Backstrom (11) 55% to 28%-27
  2. P2 12:37A. Kotalik (20) 30% to 55%+25
  3. P1 15:21A. Ovechkin (53) 56% to 35%-21
  4. P3 13:19A. Ovechkin (54) 12% to 1%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 13:19
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
17:01
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
18:11
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
23:39
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
23:05
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:25
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.6
17:42
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:47
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
21:20
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
17:23
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
8:09
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:02
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
13:45
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
19:24
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:43
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
18:09
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:10
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:10
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
19:55
Total
1
2
3
2
26
5.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller233.870-0.258:41L

Team Stats

WSHBUF
23Shots on Goal26
1Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes2
24Hits33
10Blocked Shots13
12Giveaways14
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
15:21GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (53), assists: Nicklas Backstrom, Olie Kolzig
2ND
12:37GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (20), assists: Jason Pominville, Jaroslav Spacek
13:27GOAL (WSH): Nicklas Backstrom (11), assists: Viktor Kozlov
3RD
13:19GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (54), assists: Viktor Kozlov, Milan Jurcina
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