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March 10, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 32 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NYR110013
BUF110002
Shots on goal NYR 26, BUF 21W H. LundqvistL R. Miller
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .923
NYR H. Lundqvist .905
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 8
NYR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Jagr goal (P2 8:26), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 28%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
27:44
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
29:28
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.923 (24/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:14
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 08:26J. Jagr (18) 52% to 28%-24
  2. P2 14:14T. Vanek (28) 29% to 52%+23
  3. P1 01:22F. Tyutin (5) 71% to 53%-18
  4. P1 00:16J. Pominville (23) 53% to 71%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
26:39
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
2
6
1.4
22:07
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
19:51
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
20:30
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
19:46
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
27:44
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:35
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:34
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
6:25
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
17:14
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
3:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
15
1
-0.1
2:55
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:13
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.6
29:28
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
5:11
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:04
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
25:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
13:42
Total
2
4
6
21
21
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller262.9230.965:00O

Team Stats

NYRBUF
26Shots on Goal21
3Power Play Chances8
0%PP%13%
88%PK%100%
0PPG1
31Penalty Minutes21
29Hits26
14Blocked Shots17
11Giveaways19
4Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
00:16GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (23), assists: Paul Gaustad, Jochen Hecht
01:22GOAL (NYR): Fedor Tyutin (5), assists: Nigel Dawes, Brendan Shanahan
2ND
08:26GOAL (NYR): Jaromir Jagr (18), assists: Sean Avery, Brandon Dubinsky
14:14GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (28), assists: Jason Pominville, Maxim Afinogenov
SO
00:00GOAL (NYR): Brendan Shanahan, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville, assists: Henrik Lundqvist(SO)
00:00GOAL (NYR): Scott Gomez, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
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