vs WSH (Mar 5, 2008)vs NYR (Mar 10, 2008) ›

March 8, 2008

RBC Center | Raleigh

BUF 34 CAR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF02103
CAR21014
Shots on goal BUF 30, CAR 35W C. WardL R. Miller
Summary

CAR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .886
CAR C. Ward .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
CAR 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
S. Walker goal (OT 2:50), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 0%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Paille
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:35
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
27:20
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.886 (31/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 2:50
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

OT 2:50
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 02:50S. Walker (10) 48% to 0%-48
  2. P3 10:00T. Lydman (3) 14% to 50%+36
  3. P1 16:35K. Aucoin (5) 50% to 29%-21
  4. P2 08:52S. Samsonov (12) 26% to 10%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
1
1.2
21:35
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:32
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.1
19:39
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
5
0.9
17:56
#5 T. Lydman (D)
1
0
1
0
2
2
1.0
22:33
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
1.1
27:11
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:06
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:15
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
13:15
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
4:16
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
11:47
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
17:44
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:25
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
3:11
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:30
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
3
-0.1
27:20
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
6:52
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
26:37
Total
3
4
7
16
30
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller354.8860.162:50O

Team Stats

BUFCAR
30Shots on Goal35
3Power Play Chances8
33%PP%13%
88%PK%67%
1PPG1
16Penalty Minutes6
13Hits19
19Blocked Shots7
6Giveaways4
3Takeaways13

Full Game Log

1ST
16:35GOAL (CAR): Keith Aucoin (5), assists: Ryan Bayda, Joe Corvo
17:01GOAL (CAR): Tim Gleason (3), assists: Patrick Eaves, Matt Cullen
2ND
07:46GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (27), unassisted
08:52GOAL (CAR): Sergei Samsonov (12), assists: Eric Staal, Dennis Seidenberg
18:07GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (14), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Derek Roy
3RD
10:00GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman (3), assists: Jochen Hecht, Maxim Afinogenov
OT
02:50GOAL (CAR): Scott Walker (10), assists: Eric Staal, Joe Corvo
vs WSH (Mar 5, 2008)vs NYR (Mar 10, 2008) ›