@ BOS (Nov 8, 2008)vs CBJ (Nov 14, 2008) ›

November 12, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

STL 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
STL1113
BUF3014
Shots on goal STL 33, BUF 32W R. MillerL C. Mason
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .909
STL M. Legace .571
STL C. Mason .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
STL 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
A. Mair goal (P1 2:46), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 75%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Pominville
20:02
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
22:23
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:46A. Mair (3) 58% to 75%+17
  2. P2 03:27P. Berglund (5) 91% to 78%-13
  3. P1 04:55T. Connolly (2) 75% to 88%+13
  4. P3 03:34H. Tallinder (1) 84% to 96%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
14:17
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
1
1.4
15:11
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.5
18:31
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.5
17:49
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
17:15
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:28
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
20:02
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
19:34
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:00
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
19:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
17:14
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
13:29
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
6:07
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
10
0
0.0
1:26
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:59
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:25
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
17:05
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
22:23
Total
4
8
12
14
32
11.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller333.9090.859:54W

Team Stats

STLBUF
33Shots on Goal32
1Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
18Penalty Minutes14
31Hits19
9Blocked Shots11
13Giveaways12
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
02:46GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (3), assists: Paul Gaustad, Toni Lydman
04:55GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (2), assists: Jochen Hecht, Henrik Tallinder
05:18GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (5), assists: Tim Connolly, Jochen Hecht
14:07GOAL (STL): David Perron (1), assists: Patrik Berglund, Lee Stempniak
2ND
03:27GOAL (STL): Patrik Berglund (5), assists: Keith Tkachuk, David Perron
3RD
03:34GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (1), assists: Daniel Paille, Adam Mair
08:08GOAL (STL): Lee Stempniak (2), assists: David Perron
@ BOS (Nov 8, 2008)vs CBJ (Nov 14, 2008) ›