vs ATL (Nov 7, 2008)vs STL (Nov 12, 2008) ›

November 8, 2008

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 13 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
BOS1203
Shots on goal BUF 33, BOS 40W M. FernandezL R. Miller
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .925
BOS M. Fernandez .970
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
C. Kobasew goal (P2 2:47), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 26%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Connolly
18:45
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:02
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.925 (37/40)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 15 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:47C. Kobasew (1) 48% to 26%-22
  2. P1 17:36D. Wideman (4) 69% to 48%-21
  3. P1 10:16T. Connolly (1) 48% to 67%+19
  4. P2 07:59M. Savard (6) 25% to 10%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
18:45
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
8
1.3
16:38
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.5
18:46
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:08
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
16:12
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:52
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
13:23
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
17:23
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
11:23
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:20
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
15:00
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
18:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.4
15:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:47
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
22:02
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
16:30
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:34
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
20:25
Total
1
2
3
6
33
4.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller403.9251.559:56L

Team Stats

BUFBOS
33Shots on Goal40
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes4
20Hits26
11Blocked Shots7
5Giveaways6
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
10:16GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Jason Pominville, Craig Rivet
17:36GOAL (BOS): Dennis Wideman (4), assists: Stephane Yelle, Chuck Kobasew
2ND
02:47GOAL (BOS): Chuck Kobasew (1), assists: Shawn Thornton
07:59GOAL (BOS): Marc Savard (6), assists: Phil Kessel
vs ATL (Nov 7, 2008)vs STL (Nov 12, 2008) ›