@ CHI (Jan 14, 2009)vs CAR (Jan 17, 2009) ›

January 15, 2009

American Airlines Center | Dallas

BUF 54 DAL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs DAL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF013015
DAL211004
Shots on goal BUF 35, DAL 25W R. MillerL M. Turco
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .840
DAL M. Turco .886
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
DAL 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
C. MacArthur goal (P3 10:09), Sabres win chance rises from 14% to 50%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
26:53
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
28:30
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.840 (21/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDAL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:59
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFDAL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDAL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:09C. MacArthur (12) 14% to 50%+36
  2. P1 10:44M. Niskanen (4) 48% to 31%-17
  3. P3 03:01J. Hecht (5) 5% to 20%+15
  4. P3 03:49B. Richards (11) 19% to 5%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
2
2
+1
4
0
1.0
14:49
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
2
0
2
+1
5
5
1.9
11:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.3
25:50
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
5
1.1
26:53
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
15:17
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
12:09
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
4
1.2
21:43
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
18:55
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:01
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
20:05
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
8:16
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:57
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
22:53
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:35
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
28:30
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
22:39
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:15
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
15:53
Total
4
8
12
11
35
11.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller254.840-0.964:38W

Team Stats

BUFDAL
35Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%67%
33%PK%75%
1PPG2
11Penalty Minutes13
31Hits25
7Blocked Shots19
22Giveaways22
3Takeaways13

Full Game Log

1ST
10:44GOAL (DAL): Matt Niskanen (4), assists: Jere Lehtinen, Steve Ott
14:40GOAL (DAL): Steve Ott (5), assists: Mike Modano, Marty Turco
2ND
02:47GOAL (DAL): Trevor Daley (5), unassisted
13:12GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (5), assists: Craig Rivet, Drew Stafford
3RD
03:01GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (5), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
03:49GOAL (DAL): Brad Richards (11), assists: Nicklas Grossmann, Joel Lundqvist
09:53GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (6), assists: Drew Stafford, Ales Kotalik
10:09GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (12), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Jason Pominville
SO
00:00GOAL (DAL): Jere Lehtinen, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy, assists: Marty Turco(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville, assists: Marty Turco(SO)
@ CHI (Jan 14, 2009)vs CAR (Jan 17, 2009) ›