vs CAR (Jan 17, 2009)@ TBL (Jan 21, 2009) ›

January 19, 2009

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 32 FLA

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF011013
FLA101002
Shots on goal BUF 23, FLA 29W R. MillerL T. Vokoun
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .931
FLA T. Vokoun .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
FLA 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
N. Horton goal (P3 16:36), Sabres win chance drops from 94% to 49%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
3
SHOTS
D. Roy
22:58
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
26:54
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 31 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:38
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:36N. Horton (13) 94% to 49%-45
  2. P3 04:22T. Vanek (28) 52% to 80%+28
  3. P2 18:03T. Connolly (5) 20% to 47%+27
  4. P1 16:29D. Booth (19) 46% to 26%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
0
0.9
20:41
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
19:25
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
22:51
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
4
1
0.5
25:56
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
22:58
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:59
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:27
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
17:41
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
7:32
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
19:53
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:26
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:18
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
19:11
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:54
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
21:50
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
23:34
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:32
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
26:54
Total
2
2
4
8
23
5.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller292.9311.264:58W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
23Shots on Goal29
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes12
22Hits24
9Blocked Shots7
3Giveaways8
2Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
16:29GOAL (FLA): David Booth (19), unassisted
2ND
18:03GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (5), unassisted
3RD
04:22GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (28), assists: Toni Lydman, Jason Pominville
16:36GOAL (FLA): Nathan Horton (13), assists: Richard Zednik, David Booth
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Tomas Vokoun(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy, assists: Tomas Vokoun(SO)
vs CAR (Jan 17, 2009)@ TBL (Jan 21, 2009) ›