vs PHI (Apr 23, 1995)vs FLA (Apr 26, 1995) ›

April 24, 1995

Thunderdome | St. Petersburg

BUF 31 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0123
TBL1001
Shots on goal BUF 29, TBL 24W D. HasekL D. Puppa
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .958
TBL D. Puppa .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
TBL 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
A. Mogilny goal (P3 4:56), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 84%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mogilny
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Muni
4
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.958 (23/24)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 04:56A. Mogilny (15) 57% to 84%+27
  2. P2 15:46M. Astley (1) 24% to 50%+26
  3. P1 10:25A. Selivanov (10) 50% to 31%-19
  4. P3 03:45Cross checking on Roman Hamrlik, 2 min 50% to 56%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.4
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#33 M. Astley (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#29 S. Pearson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
Total
3
3
6
12
29
5.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek241.9581.660:00W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
29Shots on Goal24
6Power Play Chances6
17%PP%17%
83%PK%83%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

1ST
10:25GOAL (TBL): Alexander Selivanov (10), assists: Marc Bureau, John Tucker
2ND
15:46GOAL (BUF): Mark Astley (1), unassisted
3RD
04:56GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (15), assists: Donald Audette, Pat LaFontaine
19:35GOAL (BUF): Yuri Khmylev (8), assists: Alexander Mogilny
vs PHI (Apr 23, 1995)vs FLA (Apr 26, 1995) ›