@ MTL (Apr 29, 1995)vs NJD (May 3, 1995) ›

May 1, 1995

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

MTL 02 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0000
BUF1012
Shots on goal MTL 32, BUF 29W D. HasekL P. Roy
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek 1.000
MTL P. Roy .931
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
MTL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
R. Smehlik goal (P1 3:59), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 75%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mogilny
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
1.000 (32/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 03:59R. Smehlik (2) 59% to 75%+16
  2. P1 17:21Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 77% to 68%-9
  3. P1 17:21Fighting on Mario Roberge, 5 min 72% to 79%+7
  4. P3 16:04A. Mogilny (19) 94% to 100%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
6
1.0
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.8
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#29 S. Pearson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
26
0
-0.7
#33 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
2
4
6
33
29
5.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek3201.0003.260:00W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
32Shots on Goal29
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
25Penalty Minutes33

Full Game Log

1ST
03:59GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (2), assists: Brian Holzinger, Garry Galley
3RD
16:04GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (19), assists: Jason Dawe, Pat LaFontaine
@ MTL (Apr 29, 1995)vs NJD (May 3, 1995) ›