vs MTL (May 1, 1995)

May 3, 1995

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

NJD 45 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD3014
BUF2125
Shots on goal NJD 24, BUF 27W R. StauberL C. Terreri
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Stauber .833
NJD M. Brodeur .600
NJD C. Terreri .864
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
NJD 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P3 0:31), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 79%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
Y. Khmylev
3 (3A)
POINTS
C. Brown
4
SHOTS
R. Stauber
.833 (20/24)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 00:31C. Brown (1) 51% to 79%+28
  2. P2 01:12D. Audette (24) 30% to 52%+22
  3. P1 06:20B. Holik (9) 52% to 34%-18
  4. P1 13:11R. Smehlik (4) 17% to 32%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
3
3
+3
0
2
2.0
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.4
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+2
2
4
1.5
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
2
0
2
+2
0
3
1.7
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#27 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#76 W. Primeau (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
2
0.9
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.6
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#17 C. Simpson (LW)
0
0
0
0
12
0
-0.3
#29 S. Pearson (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
15
1
-0.2
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
17
1
-0.4
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#33 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
5
10
15
48
27
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 R. Stauber244.833-1.060:00W

Team Stats

NJDBUF
24Shots on Goal27
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
37Penalty Minutes48

Full Game Log

1ST
06:20GOAL (NJD): Bobby Holik (9), assists: Mike Peluso, Shawn Chambers
07:43GOAL (NJD): Stephane Richer (23), assists: Brian Rolston
08:38GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (3), assists: Brian Holzinger, Yuri Khmylev
10:27GOAL (NJD): Bobby Holik (10), unassisted
13:11GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (4), assists: Yuri Khmylev, Curtis Brown
2ND
01:12GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (24), assists: Brad May, Derek Plante
3RD
00:31GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (1), assists: Brian Holzinger, Garry Galley
11:27GOAL (BUF): Wayne Primeau (1), assists: Charlie Huddy, Yuri Khmylev
19:27GOAL (NJD): Ken Daneyko (1), assists: Bobby Holik, Randy Mckay
vs MTL (May 1, 1995)