@ LAK (Mar 13, 1996)@ HFD (Mar 16, 1996) ›

March 15, 1996

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

CGY 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY1113
BUF0101
Shots on goal CGY 33, BUF 33W R. TabaracciL D. Hasek
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .938
CGY R. Tabaracci .970
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 8
CGY 2 of 8
TURNING POINT
M. Barnaby goal (P2 4:07), Sabres win chance rises from 30% to 52%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Barnaby
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 04:07M. Barnaby (12) 30% to 52%+22
  2. P2 14:40G. Titov (25) 47% to 26%-21
  3. P1 18:43T. Fleury (38) 49% to 31%-18
  4. P2 15:39Fighting on Ronnie Stern, 5 min 17% to 26%+9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
7
0.4
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#25 R. Conn (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
10
0
-0.1
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
#4 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
Total
1
1
2
35
33
2.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek322.9381.559:07L

Team Stats

CGYBUF
33Shots on Goal33
8Power Play Chances8
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
2PPG0
35Penalty Minutes35

Full Game Log

1ST
18:43GOAL (CGY): Theo Fleury (38), assists: German Titov
2ND
04:07GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (12), assists: Alexei Zhitnik
14:40GOAL (CGY): German Titov (25), assists: Steve Chiasson, James Patrick
3RD
19:23GOAL (CGY): Gary Roberts (20), unassisted
@ LAK (Mar 13, 1996)@ HFD (Mar 16, 1996) ›