‹ vs CGY (Mar 15, 1996)@ MTL (Mar 18, 1996) ›

March 16, 1996

Hartford Civic Center | Hartford

BUF 1 – 2 HFD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs HFD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
HFD2002
Shots on goal BUF 36, HFD 39W S. BurkeL D. Hasek
Summary

HFD had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .949
HFD S. Burke .972
HFD J. Muzzatti –
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
HFD 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
A. Nikolishin goal (P1 4:42), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 30%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Peca
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Plante
5
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.949 (37/39)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFHFD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:42A. Nikolishin (13) 47% to 30%-17
  2. P1 13:32B. Shanahan (36) 29% to 16%-13
  3. P1 07:43Fighting on Nelson Emerson, 5 min 23% to 30%+7
  4. P1 07:43Fighting on Jason Dawe, 5 min 30% to 23%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
1
1
+1
4
0
0.3
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
15
1
-0.2
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#25 R. Conn (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
-0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
0
4
5
0.1
#4 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
Total
1
2
3
41
36
2.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek392–.949–2.259:41L

Team Stats

BUFHFD
36Shots on Goal39
5Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
41Penalty Minutes61

Full Game Log

1ST
04:42GOAL (HFD): Andrei Nikolishin (13), assists: Robert Kron, Adam Burt
13:32GOAL (HFD): Brendan Shanahan (36), assists: Andrew Cassels, Gerald Diduck
3RD
16:06GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (10), assists: Mike Wilson, Yuri Khmylev
‹ vs CGY (Mar 15, 1996)@ MTL (Mar 18, 1996) ›