vs BOS (Mar 31, 1996)vs WSH (Apr 3, 1996) ›

April 1, 1996

Centre Molson | Montreal

BUF 64 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3216
MTL1124
Shots on goal BUF 26, MTL 50W D. HasekL J. Thibault
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .920
MTL P. Jablonski 1.000
MTL J. Thibault .762
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 5
MTL 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
B. Holzinger goal (P1 5:38), Sabres win chance rises from 42% to 60%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. LaFontaine
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
D. Plante
5
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.920 (46/50)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:38B. Holzinger (9) 42% to 60%+18
  2. P1 08:08P. LaFontaine (36) 60% to 76%+16
  3. P1 12:47M. Wilson (4) 77% to 88%+11
  4. P1 19:13A. Kovalenko (28) 91% to 80%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
2
2
4
+3
0
3
2.8
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
1
2
3
+2
0
1
2.2
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.5
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
2
2
+1
2
4
1.6
#34 M. Wilson (D)
1
1
2
0
0
1
1.4
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
1
0.8
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
0
4
5
0.6
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
+1
5
5
0.9
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#24 D. Jackson (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
17
0
-0.4
#33 S. Pearson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
Total
6
12
18
41
26
12.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek504.9201.660:00W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
26Shots on Goal50
5Power Play Chances6
60%PP%33%
67%PK%40%
3PPG2
41Penalty Minutes57

Full Game Log

1ST
05:38GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (9), assists: Garry Galley, Pat LaFontaine
08:08GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (36), assists: Jason Dawe, Mike Wilson
12:47GOAL (BUF): Mike Wilson (4), assists: Randy Burridge, Darryl Shannon
19:13GOAL (MTL): Andrei Kovalenko (28), assists: Pierre Turgeon
2ND
04:12GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (37), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Brad May
07:54GOAL (MTL): Valeri Bure (19), assists: David Wilkie, Mark Recchi
14:31GOAL (BUF): Randy Burridge (23), assists: Garry Galley, Derek Plante
3RD
09:25GOAL (MTL): Mark Recchi (27), assists: Pierre Turgeon
18:19GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (19), assists: Vincent Damphousse, Martin Rucinsky
19:04GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (22), assists: Randy Burridge, Pat LaFontaine
vs BOS (Mar 31, 1996)vs WSH (Apr 3, 1996) ›