‹ @ DAL (Oct 30, 1996)@ COL (Nov 2, 1996) ›

November 1, 1996

Kiel Center | St. Louis

BUF 4 – 2 STL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1034
STL1102
Shots on goal BUF 22, STL 36W D. HasekL J. Casey
Summary

STL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .944
STL J. Casey .818
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
STL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P3 4:24), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 79%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dawe
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.944 (34/36)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 04:24C. Brown (2) 48% to 79%+31
  2. P3 02:43B. Moore (1) 22% to 48%+26
  3. P2 09:42H. York (2) 47% to 24%-23
  4. P1 13:01B. Holzinger (5) 27% to 46%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
1
1
2
-1
0
1
1.5
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.5
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
#38 B. Moore (LW)
1
0
1
-1
2
2
0.8
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
-0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+1
5
0
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
4
6
10
15
22
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek362–.944–1.960:00W

Team Stats

BUFSTL
22Shots on Goal36
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
15Penalty Minutes15

Full Game Log

1ST
01:11GOAL (STL): Brian Noonan (2), assists: Stephane Matteau, Igor Kravchuk
13:01GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (5), assists: Curtis Brown
2ND
09:42GOAL (STL): Harry York (2), assists: Brett Hull, Stephane Matteau
3RD
02:43GOAL (BUF): Barrie Moore (1), assists: Jason Dawe, Pat LaFontaine
04:24GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (2), assists: Brian Holzinger, Dixon Ward
19:17GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (2), assists: Richard Smehlik
‹ @ DAL (Oct 30, 1996)@ COL (Nov 2, 1996) ›