@ NJD (Mar 23, 1999)@ PIT (Mar 27, 1999) ›

March 24, 1999

Joe Louis Arena | Detroit

BUF 12 DET

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
DET0112
Shots on goal BUF 25, DET 30W C. OsgoodL D. Roloson
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .933
DET C. Osgood .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
DET 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
S. Fedorov goal (P3 8:09), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 14%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Juneau
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Peca
3
SHOTS
M. Satan
24:02
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:35
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.933 (28/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:09S. Fedorov (21) 49% to 14%-35
  2. P2 18:01J. Juneau (15) 20% to 48%+28
  3. P2 06:11W. Clark (29) 48% to 25%-23
  4. P3 15:52Holding on Mathieu Dandenault, 2 min 6% to 12%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.6
15:23
#90 J. Juneau (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
17:23
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
17:26
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.2
16:29
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:58
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:32
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
11:02
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
14:18
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:10
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:45
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
20:32
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
24:02
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:11
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
18:01
#34 J. Grand-Pierre (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:10
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
20:25
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
24:35
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
19:45
Total
1
2
3
6
25
4.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson302.9331.359:51L

Team Stats

BUFDET
25Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6
22Hits15
14Blocked Shots5
3Giveaways15
5Takeaways7

Full Game Log

2ND
06:11GOAL (DET): Wendel Clark (29), assists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Steve Yzerman
18:01GOAL (BUF): Joe Juneau (15), assists: Brian Holzinger, Jason Woolley
3RD
08:09GOAL (DET): Sergei Fedorov (21), assists: Doug Brown, Vyacheslav Kozlov
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