vs BOS (May 18, 1999)@ TOR (May 25, 1999) ›

May 23, 1999

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 54 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-timeFull Round 3 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2125
TOR1214
Shots on goal BUF 21, TOR 32W D. RolosonL C. Joseph
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .875
TOR C. Joseph .762
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
TOR 3 of 9
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P3 5:21), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 81%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Peca
24:04
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:20
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.875 (28/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:21C. Brown (5) 48% to 81%+33
  2. P2 10:30B. Berard (1) 46% to 22%-24
  3. P2 14:37S. Barnes (1) 25% to 48%+23
  4. P2 05:47M. Sundin (6) 68% to 46%-22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
2
2
+2
2
1
1.3
13:20
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
1
2
+1
4
2
1.5
16:41
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.4
17:38
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
7
1.8
14:08
#25 V. Varada (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:16
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
14:22
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.7
14:41
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
1.3
28:20
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:36
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:02
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
24:04
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:17
#46 D. Sylvester (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:30
#90 J. Juneau (C)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.2
14:12
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:18
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.2
17:56
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
27:34
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
18:47
Total
5
7
12
18
21
9.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson324.875-0.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
21Shots on Goal32
4Power Play Chances9
25%PP%33%
67%PK%75%
1PPG3
20Penalty Minutes10
52Hits35
8Blocked Shots7
11Giveaways28
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
04:23GOAL (BUF): Vaclav Varada (4), assists: Dixon Ward
04:32GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (5), assists: Lonny Bohonos, Danny Markov
07:48GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (4), unassisted
2ND
05:47GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (6), assists: Bryan Berard, Alexander Karpovtsev
10:30GOAL (TOR): Bryan Berard (1), assists: Mats Sundin, Sergei Berezin
14:37GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (1), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Jason Woolley
3RD
05:21GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (5), assists: Erik Rasmussen, Geoff Sanderson
11:02GOAL (BUF): Geoff Sanderson (1), assists: Erik Rasmussen, Curtis Brown
13:59GOAL (TOR): Steve Thomas (5), assists: Bryan Berard, Alexander Karpovtsev
vs BOS (May 18, 1999)@ TOR (May 25, 1999) ›