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October 11, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHX 22 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs PHX all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHX0112
BUF1012
Shots on goal PHX 34, BUF 24
Summary

PHX had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .941
PHX B. Essensa .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
PHX 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. Green goal (P3 19:55), Sabres win chance drops from 100% to 50%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Grosek
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Grosek
3
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:58
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
29:53
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.941 (32/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHX

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:18
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFPHX

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT 4:18
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHX
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:55T. Green (2) 100% to 50%-50
  2. P3 03:39M. Grosek (1) 51% to 81%+30
  3. P2 19:44G. Adams (2) 79% to 51%-28
  4. P1 13:41S. Barnes (2) 51% to 71%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
13:45
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
1.1
15:52
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
15:54
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.1
21:33
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
19:14
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
21:58
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:14
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:57
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
4:36
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
17:24
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
21:39
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
2:51
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
0.0
14:23
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
23:35
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
24:08
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.3
29:53
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
12:49
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
23:15
Total
2
4
6
14
24
6.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek342.9411.765:00T

Team Stats

PHXBUF
34Shots on Goal24
5Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes14
7Hits20
10Blocked Shots16
23Giveaways24
6Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
13:41GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (2), assists: Brian Holzinger, Geoff Sanderson
2ND
19:44GOAL (PHX): Greg Adams (2), assists: Rick Tocchet, Deron Quint
3RD
03:39GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (1), assists: Curtis Brown, Miroslav Satan
19:55GOAL (PHX): Travis Green (2), unassisted
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