@ OTT (Oct 23, 1999)vs FLA (Oct 29, 1999) ›

October 27, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL0303
BUF2114
Shots on goal TBL 18, BUF 27W D. HasekL D. Cloutier
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .833
TBL D. Cloutier .852
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
TBL 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Patrick goal (P3 14:47), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 92%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Grosek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Peca
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
24:06
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:43
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.833 (15/18)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 33 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:47J. Patrick (1) 51% to 92%+41
  2. P2 06:35C. Brown (5) 28% to 51%+23
  3. P2 05:08S. Drulia (2) 74% to 51%-23
  4. P2 06:14V. Lecavalier (2) 49% to 28%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
1
2
+3
0
2
1.6
19:29
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
5
2.1
19:57
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.2
14:00
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
8:29
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
13:51
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
1
1.0
18:59
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
12:44
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:54
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
14:10
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
6:50
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
3:47
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:04
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
24:06
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
19:14
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
17:45
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
21:02
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
23:43
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
22:03
Total
4
5
9
10
27
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek183.833-0.760:00W

Team Stats

TBLBUF
18Shots on Goal27
3Power Play Chances4
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes10
14Hits17
14Blocked Shots14
22Giveaways21
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
03:39GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (3), assists: Michael Peca, Vaclav Varada
19:55GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (2), assists: Geoff Sanderson
2ND
02:46GOAL (TBL): Chris Gratton (3), unassisted
05:08GOAL (TBL): Stan Drulia (2), assists: Chris Gratton
06:14GOAL (TBL): Vincent Lecavalier (2), assists: Chris Gratton, Michael Nylander
06:35GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (5), assists: Michal Grosek, James Patrick
3RD
14:47GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (1), unassisted
@ OTT (Oct 23, 1999)vs FLA (Oct 29, 1999) ›