vs NYR (Apr 25, 2007)@ NYR (Apr 29, 2007) ›

April 27, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-timeFull Round 2 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR1102
BUF1023
Shots on goal NYR 33, BUF 18W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .939
NYR H. Lundqvist .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
NYR 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P3 10:11), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 88%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
4
SHOTS
C. Drury
19:29
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
23:10
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:11T. Vanek (5) 55% to 88%+33
  2. P3 00:24C. Drury (5) 25% to 55%+30
  3. P2 18:40P. Mara (1) 53% to 27%-26
  4. P1 10:58B. Campbell (3) 41% to 57%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.7
19:29
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.4
18:52
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
11:51
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
12:39
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:31
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
19:37
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
18:01
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
11:48
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:26
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:03
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.6
16:16
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
18:01
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
12:26
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
13:39
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
20:50
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
23:10
Total
3
5
8
10
18
7.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller332.9391.659:55W

Team Stats

NYRBUF
33Shots on Goal18
5Power Play Chances4
40%PP%25%
75%PK%60%
2PPG1
8Penalty Minutes10
17Hits35
6Blocked Shots16
15Giveaways11
3Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
10:08GOAL (NYR): Martin Straka (1), assists: Michal Rozsival, Jaromir Jagr
10:58GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (3), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Drury
2ND
18:40GOAL (NYR): Paul Mara (1), assists: Brendan Shanahan, Karel Rachunek
3RD
00:24GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (5), assists: Toni Lydman
10:11GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (5), assists: Drew Stafford, Brian Campbell
vs NYR (Apr 25, 2007)@ NYR (Apr 29, 2007) ›