vs NYR (Apr 27, 2007)@ NYR (May 1, 2007) ›

April 29, 2007

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 12 NYR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-timeFull Round 2 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDOT2T
BUF00101
NYR01012
Shots on goal BUF 39, NYR 46W H. LundqvistL R. Miller
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .957
NYR H. Lundqvist .974
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 9
NYR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Rozsival goal (OT2 16:43), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 0%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Brière
31:33
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
34:01
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.957 (44/46)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT2 16:43
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT2 16:43
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT2 16:43M. Rozsival (3) 51% to 0%-51
  2. P3 12:14D. Brière (2) 14% to 51%+37
  3. P2 00:33J. Jagr (3) 51% to 29%-22
  4. OT 15:32Interference on Drew Stafford, 2 min 51% to 42%-9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
26:19
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
31:33
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
32:38
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
24:22
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.7
21:36
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
29:46
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
17:02
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:11
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
30:57
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.6
25:24
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
24:29
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
24:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:39
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
29:43
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
23:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
1
0.0
30:58
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.2
29:04
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
34:01
Total
1
2
3
10
39
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller462.9572.996:37L

Team Stats

BUFNYR
39Shots on Goal46
9Power Play Chances5
11%PP%0%
100%PK%89%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes18
27Hits48
36Blocked Shots34
10Giveaways10
7Takeaways10

Full Game Log

2ND
00:33GOAL (NYR): Jaromir Jagr (3), assists: Martin Straka, Marek Malik
3RD
12:14GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (2), assists: Tim Connolly, Brian Campbell
OT2
16:43GOAL (NYR): Michal Rozsival (3), assists: Michael Nylander, Marcel Hossa
vs NYR (Apr 27, 2007)@ NYR (May 1, 2007) ›