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October 26, 2007

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 42 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1034
FLA2002
Shots on goal BUF 33, FLA 35W R. MillerL T. Vokoun
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .943
FLA T. Vokoun .879
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
FLA 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
D. Stafford goal (P3 11:12), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 87%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (2A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
T. Connolly
23:00
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.943 (33/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:12D. Stafford (2) 49% to 87%+38
  2. P3 08:25J. Hecht (3) 15% to 49%+34
  3. P1 19:15V. Peltonen (2) 48% to 27%-21
  4. P1 07:53A. Kotalik (2) 31% to 50%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.6
21:53
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.2
12:23
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
15:00
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
6:35
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
-2
2
5
0.8
16:53
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
4
3
0.9
19:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
1
0.6
23:49
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
16:27
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:59
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
23:00
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
5:05
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
13:42
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.5
17:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
2:05
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
24:31
#34 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:16
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.2
17:09
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:09
Total
4
5
9
14
33
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller352.9431.859:55W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
33Shots on Goal35
5Power Play Chances7
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
14Penalty Minutes10
9Hits13
15Blocked Shots8
8Giveaways10
3Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
01:45GOAL (FLA): Jozef Stumpel (2), assists: Jay Bouwmeester
07:53GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (2), assists: Jason Pominville, Thomas Vanek
19:15GOAL (FLA): Ville Peltonen (2), assists: Stephen Weiss, Nathan Horton
3RD
08:25GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (3), assists: Jason Pominville, Henrik Tallinder
11:12GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (2), assists: Andrej Sekera
17:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (2), unassisted
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