@ NYI (Oct 13, 2008) ›

October 10, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 12 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MTL100001
BUF100012
Shots on goal MTL 28, BUF 36W R. MillerL C. Price
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .964
MTL C. Price .972
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
MTL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P1 7:40), Sabres win chance rises from 34% to 53%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
8
SHOTS
D. Roy
23:29
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:46
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:56
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 07:40T. Vanek (1) 34% to 53%+19
  2. P1 02:58R. Lang (1) 53% to 35%-18
  3. P3 15:20Interference on Guillaume Latendresse, 2 min 51% to 59%+8
  4. P3 05:58Slashing on Steve Begin, 2 min 52% to 58%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
8
1.2
20:52
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
19:00
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
4
0
0.5
18:44
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.3
23:29
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:27
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.5
14:10
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.5
20:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:02
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
20:23
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
8:09
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
8:58
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.4
19:00
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:50
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:35
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
22:46
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:04
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
22:44
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
22:31
Total
1
2
3
10
36
5.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller281.9642.064:48W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
28Shots on Goal36
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes10
20Hits14
17Blocked Shots13
13Giveaways18
3Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
02:58GOAL (MTL): Robert Lang (1), assists: Tom Kostopoulos, Andrei Markov
07:40GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Teppo Numminen, Toni Lydman
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Carey Price(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford, assists: Carey Price(SO)
@ NYI (Oct 13, 2008) ›